Moruya races, tips; Tamworth races, tips; Shayne O’Cass best bets; horse racing tips

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PROMISING gelding Tyres Are Crucial should have no trouble disposing of his opposition in the Weathertex Timber Class 1 Handicap (1300m) at Moruya on Sunday — if he is going to fulfil his lofty ambitions.

The Barbara Joseph and Paul Jones co-trained three-year-old is held in such high regard by the stable that they are eyeing off the Canberra Guineas as a long range target. Tyres Are Crucial is holding up his end of the bargain so far with a win and two seconds from his four starts.

REDZEL WIN JUST WAHT DOCTOR ORDERED

HAYES COUNTS COST OF WIDE GATE

COMMENT: FANS VOTE EVEREST TOPS

“He is a lovely horse,’’ Jones began,’’We are just going to bring him in for a short preparation and try a get a win or two out of him in his next two runs and then give him a little let-up and bring him back for the good three year-old races, the Canberra Guineas races and such in February. Maybe if he wins today we might try and find a Highway before Canberra is kicked out, that would be ideal thing between now and the third of December.’’

THE EVEREST: IN PICTURES

SHAYNE O’CASS’S BEST BETS

MORUYA

BEST BET: ATHONIS (Race 5, No. 1)

Former New Zealander who did a few things wrong at his Australian debut but still managed to go very close to winning a 1425m maiden at Moruya on September 29. Better for the experience and the step up to 1650m will be to his advantage.

NEXT BEST: ZAFINA (Race 6, No. 1)

Stratum mare from the Matthew Dale camp heading up a very strong line-up in the Class 2. She was winless after 16 starts but has won her last two starts by a combined margin of 5½ lengths. Is clearly flying at present.

VALUE: THEATRE TICKETS (Race 4, No. 1)

Locally-trained gelding who came from a long way off in the big field to finish second in a 1200m maiden her last time out. Looks the best horse in the race and the one with the most upside.

JOCKEY TO FOLLOW

BRODIE LOY is a high-class jockey no matter where he rides but he is tremendously effective and prolific in and around the southern parts of the State. Has a great book of rides here.

SUGGESTED BETS

Exacta — Race 2 No. 3 to beat No. 8

Exacta — Race 4 No. 1 to beat No. 8

QUADDIE

Race 4: 1,8

Race 5: 1,9

Race 6: 1,3,4,5

Race 7: 1,8,9

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Brodie Loy could have a big day at Moruya with a strong book of rides. Picture: Jenny Evans

MATT JONES’ BEST BETS

TAMWORTH

BEST BET: VALREE (Race 2, No. 10)

The Rodney Northam-trained runner is knocking on the door for a win and the jump up in trip will give him a good chance to salute.

BEST VALUE: TRY ‘N’ RUN A MUCK (Race 7, No. 8)

This horse ticks so many boxes heading into this and races well enough fresh to spring an upset here.

SUGGESTED BETS

Running double R2 No. 10, R3 No. 9

JOCKEY TO FOLLOW

PAUL KING has a number of rides which are chances but also good enough value to make a bit of money on.

TRAINER TO FOLLOW

PAUL PERRY is the leading country trainer this season and is taking a host of chances to this meeting.

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Jones and Joseph also supply another of the more intriguing runners at Moruya in the shape of Kiwi recruit, Athonis, who went close to breaking his maiden status when he made his Australian debut in a 1425m maiden at Moruya on September 29.

The son of Stravinsky contests the Mitre Ten Handicap over the 1650m this time which should play into his favour.

“He did a lot of things wrong at his first run for us, he has done all his racing running the Melbourne way and we hadn’t had him for a long time,’’ Jones said.

“He was quite tractable in his trackwork but he got a little bit lost in the race and got on the wrong leg but his last 50m was probably his best 50m. Unfortunately we didn’t draw a good gate again but I am really happy with how he has come on from his first run.’’

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Co-trainers Paul Jones and Barbara Joseph have a strong lining up at Moruya.

Moruya has always been a happy hunting ground for the Joseph and Jones camp dating back a long while and it could be that the camp leads in multiple winners today.

They have a total of six runners, Duvet, Tyres Are Crucial, Under The Eaves, Athonis, Dutchesse Moshe and the regally bred Loyal Toast.

A mix of Winx’s sire Street Cry and Joe Pride’s Coolmore Classic winner Regal Cheer, Loyal Toast will get exactly that from his owners if he can mark the occasion of his 50 start with a win in the Hume Door Handicap over the 1650m.

And while wins are few and far between for Loyal Toast — just two out of 49 appearances — he has placed 18 times, 12 of those seconds.

“I don’t know how he’s only won two races, he’s been unlucky a lot of time,’’ Jones said. “He is a stable favourite and at the moment he is paying for himself so we will just keep ticking him over.’’

TAMWORTH

Matt Jones

SHE’S first-up with a big weight on a heavy track, which isn’t ideal for Fickle Folly at Tamworth on Sunday. But she’s got the Sir Plush form.

The four-year-old mare returns to racing in the Hygain Microspeed Country Music Cup Next January (1000m) and if punters look into her winter performances they’ll have a reason to think she’s a good thing.

Her final two runs before a let up were at Rosehill and a three-length third to the red-hot Bjorn Baker-trained horse Sir Plush has proved to be great form.

He’s belted a couple of genuine Saturday metropolitan class fields of late and it brought a smile to Fickle Folly’s trainer Sure Grills.

“I was thinking the other day about Sir Plush and thinking how well she actually did then to get that close to him,” Grills said. “She ran excellent at Rosehill. I was so happy with her. She maps well here and with the wet track it’s probably better being wide at Tamworth. She’s going really well and even though she’s got a lot of weight (59.5kg) I think she’ll run nicely.”

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Horse Racing: $86 roughie Mighty Boss has taken out the Caufield Guineas.

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Mighty upset in Caufield

INSIDE MAIL with SHAYNE O’CASS

MORUYA

RACE 1

6. Ghost Rider was scratched from his scheduled engagement at Forbes yesterday to run in this race instead. He will start from the outside barrier but he has no real weight after the claim. Racing extremely well present and deserves the win. 4. One For Bede was a dual acceptor with trainer Paul Murray making a good case for him to run here over the 1425m instead of the 1300m in the other race. 1. Duvet doesn’t win often but can figure.

BETTING STRATEGY: GHOST RIDER TO win; quinella 4,6.

RACE 2

3. Tyres Are Crucial may well be short odds but rightly so. His record is 4s 1-2-0 and his trainers are looking at the Canberra Guineas with him and a Highway even so he is entitled to beat these and beat them convincingly. 8. Excellent Oratorio is the main danger if any but that said, he has won just 1 race in 42 starts but keep in mind he had finished second no less than 14 times and sometimes without luck. 2. Media Vite is best of the others.

BETTING STRATEGY: Tyres Are Crucial to win; exacta 3 to beat 8.

RACE 3

3. Louis’ Choice is trained by the master horseman Terry Robinson at the beautiful Shoalheaven Heads. This 7YO grey has some compelling numbers to support his case including 7s 1-2-1 at the venue and 4s 1-1-0 at the trip. Makes plenty of appeal. 1. Bill ‘N’ Eve is a serious player if he can repeat his last start win here at $21 when racing on the pace. Drew 1 then, has 7 today is a concern. 6. Freedom Call is 1 for 1 at the track and distance.

BETTING STRATEGY: LOUIS’ CHOICE to win, box trifecta 1,3,6,7

RACE 4

Locally trained gelding 1. Theatre Tickets is bursting to win a race. The son of Tickets has been runner-up twice in his only five outings including at his most recent start when he came from a long way back in a big field in a 1200m maiden here. Will be steaming home again. 8. Taqueda took ground of a handy horse in a decent maiden at Nowra last time out. Getting closer to the win with every run. 2. High Citadel blotted the copybook last start but was consistent before.

BETTING STRATEGY: THEATRE TICKETS to win, quinella 1,8, exacta 1 to beat 8

RACE 5

Kiwi recruit 1. Athonis went close to winning his Australian debut when a close-up third in a 1425m here on Sep 29. Did a few things wrong that day and will surely be advantaged by the step up to 1650m. Has the talent to progress through his grades now. 9. Not Bossy is a Moruya housed mare whose best runs of her six starts have been at her last two when runner-up both times, the last one here finishing just in front of Athonis. Must go in.

BETTING STRATEGY: ATHONIS to win, quinella 1,9, exacta 1 to beat 9

RACE 6

The Matthew Dale trained 1. Zafina was winless after her first 16 starts but she has really hot a purple patch now winning her last two by a combined margin of 5 1/2-lengths. Her most recent win was at this very same track and distance. Up from a C1 to a C2 now and has loads of weight but is clearly flying. 3. Tipta Tantivy is a local who ran super first-up here at home over an unsyutably short distance of 1200m. Crying out for 1425m. . A Snip of Cyndy can never be discounted.

BETTING STRATEGY: ZAFINA to win, box trifecta 1,3,4,5,7

RACE 7

9. Viva Lavino has strung together four straight fifths this campaign and hasn’t been beaten more than 2 1/2-lens in all that time. The Paul Murray bred and trained mare deserves some reward for effort and this could well be the day. Speaking of reward, 8. Loyal Toast’s owners are entitled to a rare win, this fellow has won 2 out of 49 but he has often raced without much luck and frequently met up with better opposition that his rivals today. 1. Charlie Royale has claims albeit with a big weight to carry.

BETTING STRATEGY: viva lavino each-way, box trifecta 1,2,3,8,9



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