Football Bet of the Day: Houston have a problem


Two very shaky defences go head to head in Texas tonight and Tobias Gourlay’s bracing for goals

Houston Dynamo v Minnesota Utd
Thursday 01:30
(Live on Premier Sports 1)

In Brazil last night, CRB beat Brasil de Pelotas 3-1 to land our BTTS bet. Today we cross the Americas in search of more goals.

Houston Dynamo drew their last MLS home match 2-2. It was their first since Davy Arnaud replaced Wilmer Cabrera as boss and took the Dynamo’s record to 34/48 home games with Over 2.5 Goals since the start of 2017. Twenty-one of those games reached Over 3.5 Goals This term, the hosts have scored in 12/14 at BBVA Stadium and conceded in the same fraction. We fancy both sides can contribute to another free-scoring game tonight.

Under Adrian Heath, Minnesota United have conceded in a remarkable 45/47 MLS away games. They’ve conceded at least twice in 38/47, so we’re hopeful Houston can find ways through them tonight. This term, Minnesota have scored themselves in 8/12 on the road, striking seven times across the most recent four such games. So we fancy they too can grab a goal against a leaky home defence tonight. When Heath’s Minnesota have scored in an away match, 30/33 have delivered at least three match goals, with 23/33 reaching four match goals or more.

We’re dipping into the Goal Lines market for this one: backing Over +2.5 & +3.0 Goals means we’ll have a full winner if there are at least four goals; if there are three goals, we’ll win on half our stake and have the other half returned.

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