It’s still going to rain this week, a lot, but there’s some good news when it comes to how much.
The National Weather Service has scaled back rainfall forecasts a little but continued to warn that the potential for flooding is still very much a concern this week.
Earlier forecasts had predicted up to 10 inches of rain for parts of the state. But forecast totals have dropped slightly as of Monday morning.
Now 8 inches is the high-water mark.
North and central Alabama remain the areas expected to get the most rain, with widespread totals of 4-6 inches in the cards, according to the weather service.
Areas in south Alabama could get 1-3 inches of rain this week, the weather service said, with the threat for a few strong storms thrown in as well, mainly on Wednesday and Thursday.
Today might be the driest one this week, with only scattered rain showers expected, according to forecasters.
Rain will be likely starting on Tuesday and lasting into Friday, and it could be heavy at times, especially on Wednesday and Thursday.
Why the downward trend in rain totals? The weather service said forecast models are shifting the area of heaviest rain farther to the north.
Forecasters will be watching a front that is expected to stall somewhere over the state this week. Areas near the front will be in line to get the most rain.
Forecasters said areas from Birmingham northward are expected to get 3-6 inches, with up to 2 inches possible as far south as Montgomery.
And that’s in addition to the rain that fell on Sunday, with some areas getting up to an inch already.
The weather service continues to remain concerned about river flooding, with minor river flooding expected in central Alabama and possibly significant flooding in north Alabama.
That could last into next week, forecasters said.
In addition, flooding will be possible in the usually flood-prone urban and low-lying areas.